ELECTION 2015: Poll predicts Labour win in Morecambe

Lord Ashcroft.
Lord Ashcroft.
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An independent poll by a leading Tory says Labour would win the Morecambe and Lunesdale seat if the General Election was held tomorrow.

Research led by Conservative peer Lord Michael Ashcroft claims that Labour candidate Amina Lone holds a 6% lead over Tory David Morris.

Labour came out with 42% of the vote, the Conservatives with 36%, UKIP 12%, and the Greens and Lib Dems both scored 5%.

Around 1,000 people were surveyed, with 310 saying they would vote Labour if the election was held tomorrow.

281 said they would vote Conservative, 103 said UKIP, 40 said Green, 36 said Liberal Democrats, and two said British National Party, with nine saying they would vote for other parties.

Of those asked, 96 were undecided, 82 said they would not vote, and 41 refused to give an answer.

Labour also scored highest on contacting constituents, with 756 people saying they had heard from Labour over the past few weeks, compared to 665 who said the Tories had made contact. 167 had heard from UKIP, and 141 from the Lib Dems, with 126 saying they had heard from none of them.

When asked which party they would most like to see in government after the election, Labour again held the edge at 329 to the Conservatives’ 314.

Lord Ashcroft, who regularly conducts research into people’s voting habits, polled 10 Conservative seats nationally where Labour are the main challengers.

Mr Morris won the Morecambe and Lunesdale seat from Labour’s Geraldine Smith at the 2010 election by 866 votes.

See the full results of the survey HERE